Plausible Future Scenarios for the UK Food and Feed System - 2015 & 2035

Plausible Future Scenarios for the UK Food and Feed System - 2015 & 2035 cover image

Title:

Plausible Future Scenarios for the UK Food and Feed System - 2015 & 2035

Author(s):

Government, Defra, FSA & Cranfield University, Institute for Environment, Health, Risk and Futures (IEHRF) Cranfield

Description: Three future scenarios are explored for the UK food and feed system, with an emphasis on implications for consumer behaviour. It also highlights the consequences of future changes in the food system and the risks associated with food processing, and key factors and projections about UK’s food and feed system. Each scenario focuses on four areas: Consumers, Food and non-food retailers; Catering, Processing, production and supply. The first is called the Reference scenario, which looks at an extrapolation of today – business as usual if it continues to 2035 where modest growth means the UK economy experiences a growing trade deficit and struggles to maintain its share in the global market. The second is called The Global Trading scenario, which reflects developments that tend to be more open, co-operative and coherent, with the UK experiencing strong economic growth, having fully recovered from the global economic downturn. The third is called The Resource Tensions scenario, which reflects developments that tend to be more fragmented, unstable and less coordinated at national and global levels. In this scenario, the UK economy experiences long-term economic difficulties with no real growth

Timescale and Scope: 2035; food system

Author: Government, Defra, FSA & Cranfield University, Institute for Environment, Health, Risk and Futures (IEHRF) Cranfield, UK

Length: 75 pages

Date: June 2014

Table of Contents

Plausible Future Scenarios for the UK Food and Feed System - 2015 & 2035

Author(s): Government, Defra, FSA & Cranfield University, Institute for Environment, Health, Risk and Futures (IEHRF) Cranfield
Keyword(s): price and availability of resources.; nature of regulatory environment; Consumers; resources; resource availability; EU legislation; global trading; consumer attitudes and behaviours; UK food and feed system; food and non-food retailers; global markets; population size; food preparation; catering; Population; international trade and relations; cost of living; ICT; food processing; climate change; food/feed chain